Flexible bankroll management strategies
Effective bankroll management is not a rigid set of rules, but a system of adaptive solutions. Below is a step-by-step technique without further ado.
1. Basic principles
1. Rate diversification
Break the total bankroll into several separate "packages" for different types of games or sessions.
Example: with a bankroll of 20,000 ₴ to make 4 of 5,000 ₴ for slots, board games, sports betting and "process" (video poker).
2. Rule 1-5%
The size of one bet adapts to the current bank of the session: 1-2% for highly dispersed games, 3-5% for low-dispersed games.
3. Dynamic redistribution
After each session, revise the balance in the package: redistribute the "extra" to those games where the margin was not received.
2. Adaptive Bet Size
1. Modified Kelly formula
```
f= (bp – q) / b
ubi
p is the estimated probability of winning,
q = 1 – p,
b is the ratio of winnings to bets.
```
- limit fo a maximum of 2% of the session bank.
2. "Parabolic" scale
With a winning streak, gradually increase the bet (for example, + 0.5% from the bank for every two successful rounds), but not higher than 5%.
With a losing one - immediately return to the base 1%.
3. Stop loss and break profit
1. Flexible stop loss
Set the loss levels not strictly set, but in the range of 10-20% of the session bank, taking into account the variance of the game.
Example: for slots with high dispersion - stop loss 20%, for video poker - 12%.
2. Trend profit
Record profits in two steps: 50% at + 10%, the rest at + 25%.
Allows you to "wrap" part of the winnings and still stay in the game.
4. Modelling and stress tests
1. Losing scenarios
Run the model 1,000-5,000 games with current bets and variance: Get the average loss, 5th and 95th percentiles.
Adjust rates if the 5th percentile (worst outcome) exceeds the allowed threshold.
2. Monte Carlo simulations
Quick check of strategy stability:
- ```python
- import numpy as np
def simulate(bank, p, b, bet_pct, trials=10000):
- results = [] for _ in range(trials):
- balance = bank for _ in range(100):
- balance += bet_pct balance b else:
- balance -= bet_pct balance
- results. append(balance)
- return np. percentile(results, [5, 50, 95])
- ```
- At 5th percentile below stop loss - lower bet\_ pct.
-
if np. random. rand() < p:
5. Automation and control
1. Implement API monitoring
Connect to the casino API or payment service for online balance and transaction tracking.
The script will notify when the remainder in the packet is below the 30% threshold.
2. Timers and reminders
Set automatic notifications for time and volume of bets (through browser extensions or application).
After 30 minutes or 10 bets - a reminder to "check the plan."
6. Regular review and adaptation
1. Daily report
Collect data:
Batch | Start | End | Change,% | Max. rate,% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Slots | 5,000 ₴ | 4,200 ₴ | -16% | 4% | |
Video Poker | 5,000 ₴ | 5,500 ₴ | + 10% | 2% | |
Record where the strategy worked and where it didn't. |
2. Weekly adjustment
Redistribute packages: reduce the proportion of those directions where regular drawdowns; increase successful.
7. Psychological support of the strategy
1. Reality check points
Upon reaching the stop loss: pause + breathing exercise 4-7-8, daarna reconciliation with the plan.
2. Gamification of progress
"Performance points": 1 point for each session without exceeding the limit; accumulating 10 points - a small reward.
3. Responsible partner
Share reports with a friend or mentor: external control increases discipline.
Result
Bankroll management flexibility is achieved through adaptive package allocation, dynamic rate tuning using a modified Kelly formula, stress testing, and automation. Regular review and psychological "reality checks" ensure that the strategy remains stable and protects you from rash losses.